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In the Name of God بسم الله

A simple statistics problem


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Guest Hazelnut

If Haydar has a 50/50 chance of getting fired from his job everyday, what are his chances of getting fired tomorrow if he didn't get fired today? Are the chances:

A) higher, 

B) lower, or

C) the same.

Explain your answer.

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The same. If the premise is that Haydar always has the same chance to get fired on any day, well then previous days won't impact that chance. So whataver happens on day 1, the chances of day 2 are still 50/50.

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  • 2 weeks later...
  • Veteran Member
On 3/8/2021 at 8:35 AM, Berber-Shia said:

The same. If the premise is that Haydar always has the same chance to get fired on any day, well then previous days won't impact that chance. So whataver happens on day 1, the chances of day 2 are still 50/50.

Yep, like flipping a coin.

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