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Mohamed1993

Build up to 2020

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Perhaps a little too early to start this thread, but since people have started speculating, I thought I'll go ahead and make a post. So far the bets seem to be; Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Joe Biden, Liz Warren, Tulsi Gabbard (maybe?), Kamala Harris and Amy Klobuchar (who even knows who she is?). 

Pros and Cons for each

-Biden: Pros- He seems well liked and the Obama name seems to have helped him, since Trump's election has made democrats forget many of the messed up things Obama did, you know collective amnesia. Cons- He is very Clinton like in his polices. He voted for the Iraq war for one, he has run for president many times and always been crushed in the primaries. So even if he's really popular now, who can tell what happens with time? He is also very pro-establishment.

-Bernie: My pick for president. Pros- He is anti-DC establishment, pushes progressive policies, isn't perfect on Foreign Policy issues, but he's better than most, he's gotten more critical of Saudi Arabia recently, and he pushed for repeated resolutions to end the disaster in Yemen. He has become a bit more critical of Israel recently too, but he still needs to be pushed here. He even during his 2016 campaign advocated for normalizing ties with Iran. He has the best progressive domestic policies out of any US candidate I know. He also seems to take climate change seriously. Cons- He will be subject to an onslaught of propaganda, the entire media has already started running pieces smearing him. They've attacked everything from his age to using his status as a white male as being a disadvantage. People have literally supported Biden and smeared Bernie for being too old, despite the fact that Biden is only a year younger. The race smearing is once again using purely identity politics to attack him and its mostly by the establishment wing of the democratic party that are attempting to use minorities as scapegoats to gather votes.

-Beto: Pros- He recently ran a very good campaign against Ted Cruz in Texas, and came pretty close in a very red state to beating Cruz. Cons- He is actually not as progressive as I once thought, he hasn't supported single-payer, instead using the same vague terminology like universal, guaranteed coverage that Clinton used. He has also been quite weak on the fossil fuel industry, saying that there is a false choice between big oil and renewable energy.

-Kamala Harris: Pros- I don't see any substantial pros other than she's a black woman, which somehow seems to matter these days. Cons- When she was attorney general of CA, she did not prosecute this big banking dude Steve Mnuchin for illegal home foreclosures, because he made campaign contributions to her. Also, she is very corporatist, pro-establishment, so she won't offer anything that Obama didn't offer, just a lot of empty rhetoric.

-Amy Klobuchar: I seriously don't know who she is, nor do I think most people.

-Tulsi Gabbard: Pros- Previous Vet, that will earn her a lot of points. She's been a strong critic of US involvement in Syria and Yemen. She has also supported a resolution, which would prevent US from arming terrorists and also from going to war with Iran. The fact that she's a recent vet makes her more aware of the realities of war, and will probably mean she will be more cautious of starting anything new. She's also progressive on other issues. Cons- She's very young, and I think most of her work is recognized by people who pay attention to foreign policy, which is not most Americans. 

-Liz Warren: Pros- She's most well known for going after the financial industry, in particular many of the wallstreet giants and she had this pretty amazing interview with this wells fargo exec, where she pushed him really hard on some issues. She's also progressive on some climate issues. Cons- She really made a mess of her whole claim to being 1/16th native American, and she got a lot of criticism from native Americans on this. She's also not progressive on FP, she's standard democratic party, pro-Israel, anti-Iran and hostile and aggressive toward Russia, offers nothing new on that front.

What do you guys think? Thoughts/opinions? Any other picks you want to highlight?

I'm basing the pros and cons off the opinion that I think the democrats will need to embrace more progressive policies which will unite many progressive dems with republicans in the rustbelt, who won't vote for another corporatist just the way they didn't vote Hillary. 

-

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I'm going to have to further research some of these people that I don't know much about. I like Senator Sanders, but I fear that he's all talk, no action. 

If only Alexandria Occasio-Cortez were old enough to be eligible to run for president, she would be my top pick. She's inexperienced, but really motivated to get things done, and so far I like her stated stances. 

Against Trump, I'd pick any one of the people you've mentioned. 

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5 hours ago, notme said:

If only Alexandria Occasio-Cortez were old enough to be eligible to run for president, she would be my top pick. She's inexperienced, but really motivated to get things done, and so far I like her stated stances. 

Think her heart is in the right place, but she needs to do better research on issues to really have the ability to debate well and tackle questions thrown at her. 

5 hours ago, notme said:

 Against Trump, I'd pick any one of the people you've mentioned. 

True, I think I underestimated in 2016 just how much more destructive republican policies are. Not that dems have anything new to offer, they at least don't deny climate change as a Chinese hoax, and they aren't hell bent on undoing every multilateral treaty the US has signed onto.

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I would really love if they didn’t involve themselves in the Israel lobby or be lapdogs to Saudia arabaia

but damn it’s just a pipe dream isn’t it

like picking a goblin out of a lineup of goblins based on what costume they wear

they're still war mongering goblins at the end of the day 

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Among all those on that list, only Tulsi Gabbard has a chance to win the Whitehouse.

The others are bad candidates with baggage, or unknowns with bad policies.

Bernie does not have the support of his own party, and cannot raise the necessary funds to run a legitimate campaign. His policies are way left and do not resonate with the American middle-class. He is also too old.

Kamala Harris is way too radical and out-of-touch to even be considered.

Biden is old-news, and doesn't stand a chance.

Only Gabbard has the charisma, the military record, and the anti-establishment credentials to challenge the GOP in 2020. If she adopts centrist policies, and resists the temptation to go hard-left, she will easily win the Whitehouse. 

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@Silas I disagree. I think the Democrats need to quit being the equivalent of 80s Republicans and move into more "radical" territory if they want to win. 

They won't though. They're almost all bought by big corporations, same as as the Republicans. 

Both parties should be outlawed. 

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57 minutes ago, notme said:

@Silas I disagree. I think the Democrats need to quit being the equivalent of 80s Republicans and move into more "radical" territory if they want to win. 

They won't though. They're almost all bought by big corporations, same as as the Republicans. 

Both parties should be outlawed. 

This is what the conventional wisdom is that Bernie is too far to the left and we need more centrist candidates to take on Trump. Problem is we had that in 2016, and it flopped miserably. Many areas Clinton lost in actually were won by Obama, who campaigned on this promise of hope and change, which ultimately didn’t amount to much beyond rhetoric. If you look at the policies Bernie has advocated for they’re supported by a good chunk of the population, single-payer especially. The party will do everything to destroy him though using his race, gender and trying to make claims about how he worked with the Russians to prevent a Clinton presidency. The DNC I’m not sure with the superdelegates gives him much of a chance. 

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On ‎12‎/‎31‎/‎2018 at 12:54 PM, notme said:

@Silas I disagree. I think the Democrats need to quit being the equivalent of 80s Republicans and move into more "radical" territory if they want to win. 

They won't though. They're almost all bought by big corporations, same as as the Republicans. 

Both parties should be outlawed. 

sis what do you think of Independents like jessie ventura?

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10 hours ago, Lion of Shia said:

sis what do you think of Independents like jessie ventura?

I don't know much about Ventura specifically, but the only way we're going to break this two-party travesty is for more Independents and more "minor party" candidates to run. 

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6 minutes ago, King said:

lol Bernie isn't too far left.  Half the policies he supports were actually supported by old school Republicans.  The actual left has virtually no representation in mainstream politics.  

Right, that's what I've been saying for years. I've always been very moderate in my views, but the United States has shifted so far to the right that now I most closely identify with Democratic socialists without any change in my views. It's a scary world when the "extremists" are the only moderates. 

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51 minutes ago, notme said:

Right, that's what I've been saying for years. I've always been very moderate in my views, but the United States has shifted so far to the right that now I most closely identify with Democratic socialists without any change in my views. It's a scary world when the "extremists" are the only moderates. 

The problem with Americans is they are so easily manipulated by fear and propaganda, it’s laughable. Like people literally compare Bernie to the Soviet Union, Venezuela and Cuba, when almost every industrialised nation has the policies he advocates for. The democrats unfortunately have become a party of nothing, all they do is scream and yell about how republicans are mean and we need to more civil and then they try and manipulate minorities to vote for them by using identity politics. It’s not doing the job anymore. It’s not helping anymore to just call the people in middle America deplorables, backward and racist, they are the ones who’ve suffered most from the dems embracing of globalisation, trade deals etc. People want to get rid of Trump and get back to an era where we could ignore problems that existed with nice PC rhetoric, but the problems won’t go away and we won’t do ourselves any favours by not addressing the reasons behind Trump, Brexit and all the far-right nationalist movements we’re seeing, they’re all linked to one another. If we just elect someone that is another centrist, we will pave the way for another populist figure like Trump, who might be even worse.

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People equate the social darwinism of the regressive left (which, I think, is pretty far to the left of center) with economic socialism. The backlash to the former often co-opts the latter. In America, at least, the economic policies of the parties that promote comparatively farther-left social ideologies aren't that socialist at all.

I grew up in rural Canada, not the Rust Belt in the United States, so my perspective might be different. But I've always felt that the uneducated "deplorables" who vote overwhelmingly for right-wing parties do so on the basis of their disgust at the liberal stance on social issues, not economic ones; these people don't necessarily benefit from the corporate-focused economic policies of the parties they elect. The success of conservatives then depends on how they can set themselves apart when it comes to gay rights, immigration, etc. and while the indoctrinated will try their hardest to believe that right-wing economic policy benefits them, it often doesn't and doesn't even need to (as that isn't their fundamental motive for voting that way).

Again, this is probably distinct from the situation in the Midwest as a lot of these Alberta/Saskatchewan/Manitoba farmers aren't even necessitous as a result of heavy dairy and otherwise agricultural tariff protection that all of the federal Canadian parties keep in place. 

Edited by Don'tMakeA١٠١س

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All eyes on Tulsi Gabbard 

 

Jacob Wohl says that he and the rest of his colleagues within an Israeli Lobbying group are doing "everything in their power" to shut Tulsi down before her campaign gets started. This raises serious foreign interference questions.

 

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