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In the Name of God بسم الله

China's global 'Belt & Road' economic play [OFFICIAL THREAD]

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As big of thing as China is doing, this wouldn't be problematic if it was Republic of China doing this and not the PRC.

Allah forbid if they actually are successful, this will be a cold war all over and sadly, many countries are in debt to the CCP, and are on the verge of becoming puppet states, much like the puppet states of the USSR.

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On 9/9/2020 at 1:57 AM, Guest guest guest said:

verge of becoming puppet states, much like the puppet states of the USSR

And as was the case with the USSR in Afghanistan no doubt at some point we'll have reports in the west of brave Muslim mujahideen freedom fighters blowing up Chinese built infrastructure.

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NHK-Japan Asia24, 24Nov2020 reported that PRC FM Wang Yi's visit to Japan is to respond to US containment policies.

Background, ~10minute read: https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2020/11/23/verdict-still-out-on-morrisons-whirlwind-tokyo-trip/  of 23Nov2020

The visit pre-view and "eroding US-led encirclement" (at end, <1minute read: https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20201124_80/  of 24Nov2020

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Coalition of democracies against China?

H.K.'s advice to Baden ~3 minute read

https://www.thehill.com/opinion/national-security/527200-kissinger-tells-biden-to-go-easy-on-china 

For a historical perspective on H.K., see:  https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2020/05/18/the-myth-of-henry-kissinger   Age 97

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Biden proposes building an alternative to the PRC's BRI.

Two articles with separate data:

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-suggests-plan-to-rival-chinas-belt-and-road-initiative-to-uk-prime-minister 

https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2021/3/26/biden-suggests-creating-initiative-to-rival-chinas-belt-and-road 

--BRI covers 40% of World GDP

--China is behind ~2,600 projects valued at $3.7 Trillion

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18 hours ago, Ashvazdanghe said:

Iran and China Sign

When l took that lRl course about 40 years ago -and in reference to the graph on oil production, time 6 minutes- it was said that the post-WW2 agreement was that Gulf countries could sell their oil to Europe if-and-only-if the price met West-Texas crude price levels. Because then and now, the US exported oil to Europe. lRl energy exports pressures US oil prices -excluding Alaskan oil  which is allotted to Japan.

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Interestingly, the Satanists at Nike are joining the West’s anti-China PR by shedding crocodile tears over alleged abuse of ISIS-aligned Uighur “Muslims.”

Notably, Xinjiang contains significant reservoirs of cotton, vegetables, coal, and polysilicon—resources that the West seeks to sever/seize from China.

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For Xi, the Uighur problem is twofold. Dozens  thousands of radicalized and battle-hardened jihadists Uighur Takfiris returning from the Middle East has obvious security implications. In addition, it jeopardizes the Xi administration’s keynote “One Belt, One Road” strategy — a revival of the iconic land and maritime Silk Road, which date back to Marco Polo’s expeditions of the 13th century, by forging a trade and infrastructure network spanning East Asia to Western Europe. Without secure and interconnected Western border, the initiative looks stillborn. ...

Since 2013, thousands of Uygurs, a Turkic-speaking Muslim minority from western China, have travelled to Syria to train with the Uygur militant group Turkestan Islamic Party and fight alongside al-Qaeda, playing key roles in several battles. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s troops are now clashing with Uygur fighters as the six-year conflict nears its endgame.

 

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Chinese investment looks very attractive for countries that cannot afford large infrastructure projects but it also creates a serious debt trap and other issues.

Check Hambantota Port in Sri Lanka taken over by China for a 99-year lease. African union building spied for 5 years with microphone recording and emails sent to China.

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Very interesting documentary from France 24, it's about what appears to be effectively the Chinese 'colonisation' of Zambia, not necessarily in 18th/19th century European terms, but certainly involving the movement of people/businesses from China to that country. China has invested a lot of money and there is growing employment due to that. But at the same time Chinese businesses are making it harder for the locals.

If there will be a war between China and the West, I think the form that it will take is the West needling locals in countries such as Zambia to take up arms against the Chinese, the Chinese fight back, in a limited fashion to begin with, but ultimately moving in the PLA. The West will then go full Mujahideen on China, obviously using the locals as proxies. 5-10 year timeframe? Long enough for the Chinese to have invested sums large enough to be worth defending?

 

 

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On Youtube when you watch one video, you get to see related ones and seeing the above opened up a treasure chest of the following series.

Obviously it has more than a hint of Chinese state propaganda, but even stripping that aside what these documentaries show (in a manner that sometimes numbers can't), is how the reality of life in various parts of Africa is changing due to the presence of China/Chinese.

The soft power aspect is obvious as well. Officers in the Tanzanian military are showing moving out of their decrepit housing into modern apartments built by the Chinese, longer term you can't help but feel that this will affect their attitudes to China.

What strikes me as being very interesting is comparing this to western colonialism. An obvious difference is the willingness and ability of China and the Chinese to send to Africa large numbers of working class people to get their hands dirty in activities like construction and farming. I think it's because it's economically feasible in a manner that was perhaps not the case with western countries' adventures in e.g. Africa where use had to be made of Indian workers in East Africa for example.

 

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Iraq was the largest beneficiary from China’s BRI in 2021, with about US$ 10.5 billion in construction contracts

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The country with the highest construction volume was Iraq, with about US$10.5 billion, followed by Serbia (about US$6.8 billion) and Indonesia (about US$2.4 billion). 

Analyzing Chinese energy engagement in different BRI countries, we find that Iraq was the country, which received by far the most energy investments from in 2021. followed by Indonesia. With the strong engagement in Iraq in 2021, Iraq moved up to the third most important partner in the BRI for energy engagement between 2013 and 2021 (the most important partner is Pakistan, followed by the Russian Federation). Iraq and China cooperate on oil (e.g., construction of the Al Khairat heavy oil power plant with a total value of about US$5 billion), gas (e.g., development of the Mansuriya gas field by Sinopec together with Iraq’s Midland Oil Company), as well as solar (e.g., a 2 GW power PV project, currently in permission stage developed and owned by power Construction Corporation of China valued at US$3.7 billion).

Aviation: Four aviation-related construction projects were announced in 2021 worth about US$810 million, such as the the rehabilitation of the Nassiryiah International Airport in Iraq.

 

https://greenfdc.org/brief-china-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-investment-report-2021/

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On 9/22/2018 at 10:59 PM, Haji 2003 said:

A few posts above I referred to a story about potential terrorist attacks on Sino-Pakistani infrastructure.

It's started:

https://twitter.com/CarlZha/status/1518977683891187714?s=20&t=UpOiUTL1IQnYcig6VxOGfw

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If this article is correct predictor of future, BRI could be toast at least for Pakistan. For China to wash hands off of Pakistan’s participation in BRI is lesser in $$$sss terms than what it spent on stopping Covid outbreak in all provinces of China in past 21 months. 

 

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Iran joins Shanghai Co-operation Organisation

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Iran has signed a Memorandum of Obligations to become a permanent member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), a central Asian security body, the Iranian foreign minister said.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/9/15/iran-signs-memorandum-join-shanghai-cooperation-organisation

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