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In the Name of God بسم الله

Current Events Syria/Yemen/Iraq/Arabia (2017-2024)

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And when it is said to them, "Do not cause corruption on the earth," they say, "We are but reformers." Unquestionably, it is they who are the corrupters, but they perceive [it] not. Q:2:11-12

Some people think 'Sham' means Damascus. Remember that 'Sham' in hadith literature was the land now encompassing Syria, Jordan, Lebanon and Palestine. So saying that 'Sham' means Damascus or even Syri

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The US imposed sanctions in early December 2020.

Now, new sanctions on Yemen will likely halt aid to the country.

OPINE: Which without aid, turns a devastated country into the World's largest extermination camp. Heil Pompedo 

reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-usa-exclusive/exclusive-us-to-designate-yemens-houthi-movement-as-foreign-terror-group-as-soon-as-monday-sources-idUSKBN29F0P5

https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN29F0P5 

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13 hours ago, hasanhh said:

Now, new sanctions on Yemen

has started some push-back.

6 minute Audio for the moment, Quotes David Beesley (frmr Gov, S.Carolina)

Subj: Trump created long-term problems

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/trumps-last-minute-policy-moves-could-have-deep-long-lasting-impacts 

 

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6 hours ago, hasanhh said:

I guess these days they dont even try hiding it that they are in it for the oil.

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6 minutes ago, Soldiers and Saffron said:

I guess these days they dont even try hiding it that they are in it for the oil.

Since the US is now an energy exporter, two of the easier reasons are to block future Friendship pipeline construction/obstruct lRl; political posturing by military means. 

This also signals the EU that the US thinks it runs everything.

l see you have a new avatar.

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5 hours ago, hasanhh said:

Since the US is now an energy exporter, two of the easier reasons are to block future Friendship pipeline construction/obstruct lRl; political posturing by military means. 

This also signals the EU that the US thinks it runs everything.

l see you have a new avatar.

It was only about a year ago that the president of the US said so himself:

 

Personally I do not think biden will act any different to trump with regards to foreign politics in the MENA region because at the end of the day they both answer to israel and their policy has always been the same.

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19 minutes ago, Soldiers and Saffron said:

Personally I do not think biden will act any different to trump with regards to foreign politics in the MENA region because at the end of the day they both answer to israel and their policy has always been the same.

l think the US is trying to corner the energy market. From that perspective, a lot of things make sense.

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On 1/22/2021 at 8:41 PM, hasanhh said:

l think the US is trying to corner the energy market. From that perspective, a lot of things make sense.

Well domestically I would think that the US has not been in a worst shape than this since WW2. It is extremely divided, poverty and homelessness increasing, half a million people dead due to unchecked pandemic going on, a mountain of debt for the nation, dont get me started to the federal reserve.

If I was the leader of the US I would focus more on the domestic problems at the moment.

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As President Biden is quickly reversing Trump's last day's in office decisions on Yemen, l did some reading. Here are 3:

Yelling like a self-righteous evilgelical:

https://www.theintercept.com/2021/02/12/ro-khanna-yemen-uae-ambassador/

Biden "tackling" Yemen: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/yemen-war-joe-biden-iran-saudi-arabia-houthis/ 

Famine: https://apnews.com/article/yemen-united-nations-d572f66d92d4e708c70a94247c57fde0 

 

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Draft version of "Arab NATO" is making peace with Israel one after the other;

Bahrain, UAE, Morocco...

The final piece of the puzzle: KSA (Since Egypt and Jordan already recognize Israel)

KSA will likely only sign peace and recognize Israel when a Palestinian-Israeli solution is finalized and implemented (might not include Gaza) Making the west bank a Palestinian state backed by Arab NATO.

Then the focus of this coalition (which hasn't been formed yet and will probably become a reality when things escalate again) will focus on Iraq and Syria.

Very important to watch the upcoming Syrian elections and what happens to Turkish, Iranian, Russian and US presence in Syria. Later same for Iraq since almost all mentioned non-Arab actors are involved there too.

This Arab coalition which likely will consist of GCC led by KSA, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco will become a peacekeeping force but they are indeed there for Turkey and Iran.

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Meanwhile, representatives of pro-Iranian groups in Iraq continue to build optimistic forecasts, claiming that Tehran will definitely lend a helping hand to the brotherly Iraqi people, which will, to some extent, neutralize the negative consequences of the American-Israeli attack or even prevent an attempt at a military invasion of Iraqi territory. However, it is unlikely that such a forecast can become a reality, since over the past 3 months a sharp "cold snap" has emerged in Iranian-Iraqi relations, creating objective obstacles, including for effective military cooperation. ... the inevitable consequence Iraq's withdrawal from the orbit of Iranian influence. At least, now in the Iraqi political establishment there is practically no one left who could adequately and fully defend the interests of (Iran – ed.). The existing contradictions in the Shiite political camp create additional difficulties, thanks to which Iraq runs the risk of permanently losing Iranian patronage if Tehran does not promptly correct the situation. ...the assassination of the Iranian General Qasem Soleimani significantly complicated the negotiation process between the Iraqi Shiites, who, for the most part, were completely at a loss and did not know how to continue their political affairs in Iraq. ...they are rapidly running out of military and political resources to put pressure on international actors and the government of official Baghdad. ... The split in the ranks of political parties, the rapid rejection of Iranian influence, flirtations with Turkey and the United States have led to the fact that in Iraq there is not a single influential group of forces that could modernize the national security system...the majority of national-patriotic movements and groups continue to advocate limiting the American presence in the country. However, in fact, such anti-American hysteria is misleading, since practically all political parties in Iraq exist at the expense of Washington, as a result of which they will not abandon the American military personnel...Iraq lacks not only technologies and financial resources, but also its own technical personnel for the practical implementation of the plan for independent production of natural gas. ...over the past 18 years, not a single new industrial center has been created in the country, and the ones created earlier have fallen into complete decline.

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Iraqis in general—though not uniformly—seem to prefer being oppressed and exploited by the West, for whatever reason. Iran’s relatively quiescent response, for the most part, has only encouraged the West, including Israel, to increase its overall footprint in Iraq and occupied portions of Syria, in coordination with Turkey, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia, as part of a pan-Sunni alliance against Iran. The bottom line is that Iran does everything to avoid “firing the first short” because Iran knows that it cannot win against the U.S., Israel, the EU, Russia, China, the GCC, and Turkey. Iran might have had a better chance if it had managed to completely eliminate the massive pro-Western “reformist” fifth-columnist infrastructure in Iran, but it has not managed to do so for decades since the Islamic Revolution. Moreover, Iran’s reluctance to build a credible nuclear deterrent against the West only invites further Western pressure and outright aggression.

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lS arising again.

DeutscheWelle did a report tonight on lslamic State raiding villages in northeast syria. Stealing money and beheading people.

So do some research l found:

A downgrading of the anti-lS desk in the State Dep't.  https://www.foreignpolicy.com/2021/02/23/islamic-state-envoy-coalition-state-department/ 

A resumption of attacks: https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2021/02/syria-islamic-state-resume-attacks-kurds-civilians.html 

And the carnage: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-55764993 

Yep, as someone noted on SC, the US is using the lS sick-in-the-head stuff believing they will counter lRl influence.

And as expected, the new, Acting D-ClA has an "anti-terrorist" background to include a stint at treasury (hint: lRI) and the new Sec of State is an old Afghan-Pak and lRl nuke energy 'specialist'.

Meanwhile, a salafist group is outlawed in Berlin:

https://www.dw.com/en/berlin-salafist-group-outlawed-after-police-raids/a-56683520 

 

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6 hours ago, hasanhh said:

lS arising again.

DeutscheWelle did a report tonight on lslamic State raiding villages in northeast syria. Stealing money and beheading people.

Bombing lRl backed militias https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20210226_26/ 

@Laayla

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On 2/23/2021 at 11:09 AM, Northwest said:

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Iraqis in general—though not uniformly—seem to prefer being oppressed and exploited by the West, for whatever reason. Iran’s relatively quiescent response, for the most part, has only encouraged the West, including Israel, to increase its overall footprint in Iraq and occupied portions of Syria, in coordination with Turkey, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia, as part of a pan-Sunni alliance against Iran. The bottom line is that Iran does everything to avoid “firing the first short” because Iran knows that it cannot win against the U.S., Israel, the EU, Russia, China, the GCC, and Turkey. Iran might have had a better chance if it had managed to completely eliminate the massive pro-Western “reformist” fifth-columnist infrastructure in Iran, but it has not managed to do so for decades since the Islamic Revolution. Moreover, Iran’s reluctance to build a credible nuclear deterrent against the West only invites further Western pressure and outright aggression.

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Legal status of withdrawal from additional NPT protocol

The point about the Additional Protocol is snap visits from any place at any time. That is, they took away all our intelligence. We should not have accepted it at all from the beginning.

Hossein Shariatmadari, Editor-in-Chief, Keyhan Daily

...even Europeans have been trying to rewrite the deal, to get Iran to scrap its basic defenses—its ballistic missile programme!

Now they are making demands beyond what we agreed on, that we do not necessarily discuss at this point.

Jalal Sadatian, Iran US Affairs Analyst

US in no position to make demands or set condition

The United States is not in a position to set conditions. It has violated and broken its promise.

First, all sanctions must be lifted, not on paper, but in action. Therefore, we must verify it. So some gentlemen are wrong when they say that we will return immediately after the Western side returns. It’s not so.

Hossein Shariatmadari, Editor in Chief, Keyhan Daily

Have the Western parties to the deal fulfilled ANY of theirs?

The Americans didn’t commit to what they signed. When we asked the Europeans why they didn’t intervene, they said we are a group of private companies that are influenced by the United States; the government here is small and powerless.

If the government does not have the power, why did it sign and guarantee the agreement? In my opinion, Europe is completely influenced by the United States and can only play a decorative role in the negotiations or in some cases, promotes the US position.

Saeed Ajorlu, Editor in Chief, Mosallas Weekly

In this way, negotiations are not good or bad in nature; it depends on what, how, and for what purpose we negotiate and who are the negotiating parties.

Hassan Beheshtipour, Political Analyst

The Security Council must act against it now and issue a resolution. Not only did they not issue a resolution, they didn’t even make a statement or give an implicit warning. This is the environment we need to negotiate in.

Hossein Shariatmadari, Editor in Chief, Keyhan Daily

Tehran’s decision to suspend voluntary implementation of that Protocol would not mean that Iran intends to expel the UN nuclear watchdog’s inspectors.

The Additional Protocol allows intrusive inspection of Iranian nuclear facilities. And that intrusion, which allowed in spies and sabotage, is deemed unacceptable.
 

In fact, we failed to act during this time. According to paragraphs 26 and 36 of the JCPOA, which deal with issues related to non-compliance, we had to retaliate immediately after they failed to meet their obligations. We had to stop fulfilling our obligations right away. But we did not do that. We waited so long that Trump left the JCPOA. Their excuse was that Iran's missile industry and Iran's presence in the region should be included in the JCPOA. Besides, they wanted to extend the restrictions indefinitely.

Hossein Shariatmadari, Editor in Chief, Keyhan Daily

The UN nuclear watchdog head Rafael Grossi arrived late Saturday February 20th in Iran for talks on the eve of Tehran's deadline for US sanctions to be lifted.

This was his 2nd trip to Iran in the past year.

Grossi said on Sunday February 21st that it had struck a deal with Iran to cushion the blow of steps Tehran plans to take this week that include ending snap inspections, with both sides agreeing to keep “necessary” monitoring for up to three months while Iran stops cooperation with the agency until sanctions are lifted.

Meaning that Iran will record the activities of its nuclear sites via the installed CCTV cameras and will store them for up to 3 months during which Iran will hand over the footage at the request of the IAEA but  will erase them for good after 90 days.

In opposition to this agreement between the administration and the IAEA, the Iranian parliament passed a vote on referring the administration’s deviation from the parliament’s bill to the judiciary on February 22.

Source

The Additional Protocol has probably facilitated external intrusion, sabotage, assassination, espionage, and so on. Internal division between the pro-Western “reformist” compradors and patriotic elements has effectively weakened Iranian national security and has abetted external control and influence over the economy, military, national security, and so on. Iran is too divided to act effectively and accordingly.

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Cyrus1 hour ago
I'm losing believe that some day Iran will avenge for General Qassem Soleimani. Every day ... (US and ...) establishing new bases across the region (Syria, Iraq and etc).

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