I think this merits a thread of its own, given that all signs point to a larger conflict soon. As never before, all the pieces are sliding into place, including the “Sunni NATO” the U.S. and Co. have been seeking for years. Plus, it fits into other developments, such as the ties between the “Sunni NATO” and Ukraine, the TRIPP agenda, the Abraham Accords, and U.S./EU plans to militarize the Arctic, starting with Greenland (i.e., the Golden Dome). On Iran there is now more unity among the players than in the past, likely due to interrelated trends I noted, such as the synchronization of alliances, priorities, and deals for a much wider conflict that extends to Russia, South-Central Asia, and eventually China. At stake was the sequence of targets; but now there seems to be a consensus that Iran is one of the very next on the list, as the U.S. is indicating.
Syria exemplifies this. The folding of the SDF in Syria was aided by U.S. support for Jolani’s centralist agenda, including control of the oil-rich Kurdish zones. In return, the U.S. and its client Turkey have brokered a joint Syria–Israel deal that will open diplomatic and economic ties, with Syria joining the Abraham Accords. In the meantime, the nascent “Sunni NATO” involves a Saudi–Pakistani defense pact that could involve nuclear-sharing, as well as a broader smoothing of GCC–Turkey ties. Turkey is already readying to deploy troops to northwestern Iran in the event of a regime “collapse,” while blaming Iran for its internal woes and external actions. Meanwhile its proxy-neighbor Azerbaijan (which, along with Pakistan, seems to have backed insurgency during the recent protests) is deepening its wide-ranging links to Israel.
Notably, Turkey claims Iran is spying on Incirlik Air Base, a key node for NATO activities in Syria, the MENA, and beyond (i.e., the South Caucasus). An all-out war with Iran would involve NATO air and other assets operating out of bases in Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Pakistan. These staging grounds could also coordinate with U.S.-backed militants such as the 7,000+ ISIS fighters that are being moved to Iraq as part of a U.S.–Syria agreement. Israeli media report that the UAE, Jordan, and many EU states (!)—such as the UK—will provide logistical and other support, including air defenses, to a U.S.–Israeli attack on Iran. All this coincides with the other geopolitical moves and dual-use coalitions that are being marshaled for future use against Russia and China as part of a build-up to a major conflict.