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In the Name of God بسم الله


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Everything posted by iCenozoic

  1. Have I ever lived in a poor neighborhood? Yes, I have, section 8, poorest of the poor (at least in northern states, poverty in the deep south is very different). As a kid, I grew up listening to gunshots in the night, joking that they were celebratory fireworks. And let me tell ya, nothing breeds hate, distrust and fear, more than an empty stomach (figuratively and literally). At least in my experience. Poverty will drive people to lie, to steal, to seek relief through drugs, organized crime, petty crimes of theft etc. I can't even trust my own family because I know they're hungry and would take advantage of me at any turn. I know this because it's already happened, numerous times. She asked if I've lived in a poor neighborhood. You don't even want to know the heinous things I've seen in the hood. Now, I'm sure some people are like a phoenix who rise to the occasion. But I've seen many broken in spirit, and they will destroy their neighbor, it that's what it takes to put food on the table. Poverty may not be the only source of gun violence. But when you grow up in a desperate environment. Maybe you are hungry, the store has food and you need it, you might just take that chance. Maybe someone stole from you, you want to pay them a visit. You're suffering in poverty and maybe you want some drugs to release that pain. You lash out in violence, perhaps even at times, as a desperate call for help. I would say, there must be a link between poverty and gun violence. Maybe not for all people, but I don't think there is any question that the two are linked. This reminds me of Tupac Shakurs old song, well that's the way it is. It's right there as soon as he opens: "I see no changes, wake up in the morning and I ask myself Is life worth livin'? Should I blast myself? I'm tired of bein' poor and, even worse, I'm black My stomach hurts so I'm lookin' for a purse to snatch" Tupac of course had a vision, sought to bring people together, but he was also grappling with this reality of desperation infused with violence. "And I ain't never did a crime I ain't have to do" "And as long as I stay black, I gotta stay strapped And I never get to lay back "You gotta learn to hold your own They get jealous when they see you with your mobile phone" 'Cause I always got to worry 'bout the payback" "Sellin' crack to the kids, "I gotta get paid" Well hey, well that's the way it is" The song is all about a feelings of distrust, struggles with things like systemic racism, pain with struggles of poverty and how it correlates with stealing purses, selling drugs to kids to survive, doing crimes that have to be done to survive, staying strapped because people will come for payback. Gangs thrive in ghettos where people feel desperate for family, for financial success, for protection etc. Its a song that I would say encompasses this discussion relatively well.
  2. What does poverty do but cause fear and disconnect communities? Most fun violence, as far as I am aware, occurs in inner city ghettos. So it seems sensible to consider poverty as a major factor. What do you think this fear and disconnect stems from?
  3. I would guess that most weapon related violence is driven by poverty and population growth. Things that are going to be near impossible to fully eliminate anytime in the near future.
  4. More on the blockade: https://www.reuters.com/world/panama-says-three-ships-hit-black-sea-since-start-ukraine-war-2022-03-16/ https://www.foodbusinessafrica.com/russian-forces-stop-ukrainian-grain-ships-from-departing-the-black-sea/ Noriel Arauz, the administrator for the Panamanian Maritime Authority, added that three Panamanian-flagged ships have come under Russian fire since the invasion of Ukraine started. One of the ships sank and two others were damaged, while no one was injured. World leaders are calling this a ‘deliberate attack’ on the global food supply chain. It has raised fears of political instability and shortages unless grain and other essential agricultural products are allowed to flow freely from Ukraine. https://www.politico.eu/article/how-to-end-russia-black-sea-blockade-nato-ukraine-trade/ Russia’s blockade is contributing to a global food crisis of potentially catastrophic proportions. “Failure to open those ports in Odesa region will be a declaration of war on global food security,” David Beasley, head of the World Food Program, recently told the U.N. Security Council. “This is not just about Ukraine, this is about the poorest of the poor around the world who are on the brink of starvation as we speak.”
  5. https://www.reuters.com/world/exclusive-photos-show-russian-attacks-ukraine-grain-storage-us-official-2022-04-01/ Comments from the UN world food program: https://youtu.be/U2Ch3vaGoTo https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/agriculture/051322-russia-talks-of-record-wheat-crop-while-world-mulls-output-fall "Russia could be on course for a record wheat crop this year, strengthening the role of the world's biggest wheat exporter at a time when its invasion of Ukraine may help to trigger the first decline in global production since 2018-19. The Russian government's official numbers include the territory of Crimea, unlike the USDA's. The Ukrainian government's statistics also exclude Crimea and the conflict zones in the regions of Donetsk and Luhansk." S&P Global, aka Russia annexed Crimea and is now profiting with increased wheat yields from the land it has taken. And you know who's going to win out in all of this? The other major wheat supplier in the world who controls major reserves of wheat. Russia of course. Limit supply, drive up the price and value, capitalize on wheat revenue. Just like they're doing with natural gas. It is a smart way to utilize their resources to influence the world. It's a smart way to counter effects of sanctions and it's a smart move to use them to barter with western nations over sanctions. Relieve Russia of sanctions and your people will have bread and home heating. But it's also dangerous of course. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-russia-stole-several-hundred-thousand-tonnes-grain-2022-04-30/ Russia was also recorded with satellite imagery exporting wheat from Crimea, considered stolen wheat. In addition to attacks on wheat storage supplies: https://www.reuters.com/world/exclusive-photos-show-russian-attacks-ukraine-grain-storage-us-official-2022-04-01/ Aka, driving up the price and profiting on limited supply.
  6. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/russia-ukraine-war-putin-grain-shipments-macron-scholz-black-sea-ports-rcna30964 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-says-hes-willing-discuss-resuming-ukrainian-grain-shipments-2022-05-28/ Russian President Vladimir Putin on Saturday told the leaders of France and Germany Moscow is ready to look for ways to ship grain stuck in Ukrainian ports but demanded the West lift sanctions. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/05/28/putin-macron-scholz-discuss-ukraine-arms-grain-supplies-a77829 https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/putin-willing-to-discuss-resuming-ukrainian-grain-shipments-from-black-sea-ports-kremlin-101653745382755-amp.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/05/24/naval-blockade-food-supply-ukraine-russia/ https://indianexpress.com/article/world/russia-ukraine-war-live-updates-putin-zelenskyy-7936669/ https://english.aawsat.com/home/article/3671216/macron-scholz-urge-putin-accept-direct-exchange-zelenskiy https://www.world-grain.com/articles/16958-report-turkey-seeks-deal-to-allow-ukrainian-grain-exports https://seanews.ru/en/2022/03/15/en-russia-suspends-grain-and-sugar-export/ https://www.rferl.org/a/war-ukraine-global-food-shortage/31872861.html#:~:text=In March%2C Russia temporarily banned,to its Central Asian neighbors. Many sources suggest that Russia has banned wheat exports. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/5/25/time-running-out-for-ukraine-grain-exports-from-besieged-seaports https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/05/14/ukraine-ports-grain-global-hunger/ https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-war-russia-blocks-ships-carrying-grain-exports/a-61165985 https://www.reuters.com/business/russia-may-suspend-grain-exports-until-june-30-interfax-2022-03-14/ https://www.world-grain.com/articles/16623-russia-temporarily-bans-grain-exports https://www.fao.org/giews/food-prices/food-policies/detail/en/c/1477294/ https://www.feedandgrain.com/news/russia-blocks-ships-carrying-grain-exports https://fortune.com/2022/05/10/ukraine-wheat-exports-russian-black-sea-port-blockade/ https://www.euronews.com/2022/05/27/ukraine-crisis-russia-grain -Turkey making efforts to open an export corridor. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/05/26/russia-ready-to-help-overcome-food-crisis-if-west-lifts-sanctions-putin-a77818 "Vladimir Putin emphasizes that the Russian Federation is ready to make a significant contribution to overcoming the food crisis through the export of grain and fertilizer, subject to the lifting of politically motivated restrictions by the West," the Kremlin said in a statement following the call. International organizations wouldn't be attempting to negotiate with Russia to allow exports if they weren't impeding them. Seems silly to me to think that Russia wouldn't be responsible despite their ships having control of the black sea. Much like Russia's ban on natural gas heating and oil to opposing countries, it's simply using food as an additional weapon to manipulate Ukraine. And quite frankly, none of this would be happening if not for the invasion of Ukraine to begin with. Sometimes the greatest solution to world hunger starts by not using military might to invade your neighbors with brute force and explosives to annex their territory and take hold of their resources. Which is, to be fair, an issue the US needs to learn as well with respect to nations such as Syria and Iraq.
  7. How could anyone argue that western support isn't meant to support Ukraine when western support allowed Ukraines central government to survive the Russian offensive at Kyiv? I know I'm not the only one who saw those series of Russian defeats followed by their retreat back to Belarus. Then more recently we've seen Russia's military pushed out of Ukraine from the Kharkiv region as well. And we also can't argue that it takes several months of training for their military to use the weapons provided because of course there is active footage of use of western provided weapons in these ongoing battles. Such as, the highly effective javelins: https://youtu.be/S9CW6fYbT6Y https://youtu.be/4g68MmLrGvM Or various artillery systems: And various types of drones, such as those provided by turkey.
  8. https://www.wfp.org/funding/2020 https://www.wfp.org/
  9. I Imagine the good Russia could have done in terms of eradicating world hunger and thirst, had it not invaded and seized/blocked Ukraines natural resources and wheat export facilities.
  10. Here in the US, we are experiencing larger than normal wildfire's and droughts in the west, and in the east, we are receiving less and less snow year after year and more and more rain, suggesting a climate shift to more tropics in the new England area and more desertification in the west. Use of fossil fuels without capturing of carbon emissions waste is only going to further exacerbate these issues worldwide. So I think it's interesting, the more dire the situation, the more people fight for natural resources, the more we fight for natural reaources, the more the situation is exacerbated. More wealthy countries like those in the EU, seem to be making wise steps to move away from fossil fuels and toward renewable and clean independent energy in an effort to mitigate economic dependency and to slow down these patterns of climate change. But less wealthy countries are essentially left to fend for themselves. Left out to the wolves, and placed in a situation of increasingly dire dependency on resource rich countries and left in a situation where they must depend on others for what they need to survive against changing climate patters. And what that means is that, there will be more and more dependence on Russia, or China, by African and Middle Eastern nations. And I wouldn't think of that as being a good thing at all because of course, just like any other nation, major powers put their own needs first. This is a serious issue in wealthy countries, climate change. But it's even more extreme and serious in these economically fragile countries. It begs this question though, if climate change is breaking these poorer nations down, it's tough to simultaneously hear about figures like Imran Khan trying to make deals with Russia for more cheaper natural gas, as if increasing use of fossil fuels is somehow the solution to warmer climate. Is clean or renewable energy an option for these nations? It's unclear to me.
  11. It sounds like Putin may get his wish of control of portions of Ukraine and sanction relief. Additional price hikes to wheat, as a product of wheat export blockades, opens up more options for negotiation, particularly at the expense of destitute people and famine in African and Middle Eastern countries. Guess we should all buckle up for more instability. Russia has been very effective at leveraging natural resources to gain influence. Nothing says power like cutting off heat/natural gas and food supplies. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/ukraine-food-security-wheat-famine-b2083877.html https://www.itv.com/news/2022-03-04/wheat-prices-rocket-amid-ukraine-war-will-loaves-of-bread-in-the-uk-cost-more
  12. From a more pro Ukraine position, a closer look at some of the activities going on in Ukraine. https://youtu.be/UCh8gPEFUcQ https://youtu.be/IegjLlUhhuY
  13. Alternatively, Putin is pushing a narrative of his own. To keep fighting, rather than negotiate, by continuing efforts to occupy more Ukranian territory. Meanwhile Russia too is suffering heavy losses, and in some areas is rapidly losing it's occupied territory. Hence why we must ask, is Putin willing to fight to the last Russian invader? Who is pushing this Russian narrative but rich oligarchs, who aren't on the frontline, who aren't the ones losing their sons in a foreign country, who are seeking control of Ukraines natural resources? If Russia is really interested in negotiating, then why are they still pushing to capture oil and gas rich lands in Ukraine? Some here would argue that perhaps Ukranians shouldnt have fought back at all, and perhaps should have just let Russia walk in and kill off Ukraines central government in Kyiv. Or perhaps they should have just let Russia roll into Odessa and cut off Ukraines access to the black sea, But instead, what we see is that is that Ukraines will to fight back, is preserving their freedom, life and national sovereignty. And that's all that is happening in Ukraines drive to keep fighting, to liberate towns that are under occupation, to maintain the freedom of unoccupied lands, and to preserve lands and natural resources not yet occupied that Russia is attempting to take from them, and perhaps to even go a step further by reclaiming natural resources in contested areas. Ukraine has every reason to fight, because it is their home and their lives, freedom, and resources that are at stake. It is very much their fight and they have good reason to keep fighting. Especially given their current track record of military successes. What some are calling a "western narrative" is in actuality, just a will to be free. And currently, it is very much a possibility that Ukraine will continue it's military success.
  14. This is actually really surprising. I don't necessarily disagree, with the idea that there may be some option available in instance of rape or death of the mother. But 3 months is actually a pretty long time. At 2 months a fetus has a head, arms, legs, eyes and feet and a heart beat etc. This is surprising.
  15. This is a topic about the war in Ukraine. Hence why I am talking about Ukraine. If you would like to talk about other countries, then just tag me in threads about other countries rather than detailing this one with discussions on unrelated topics.
  16. My comment about trapped Russians was sarcasm. What I'm saying is that, it's quite obvious that Russian troops aren't trapped at all, and they could simply leave Ukraine. And so, this idea that Ukraine is irrationally rejecting peace talks in order to receive more western weapons to continue fighting is simply absurd. As if Russian soldiers are somehow trapped in Ukraine, begging for a peace deal. And Ukrainians are somehow oppressors that are rejecting peace deals and are therefore somehow forcing Russian soldiers to remain in Ukraine, and to continue blowing Ukrainian cities into the ground with massacres such as those at bucha. Such a perspective is simply twisting reality. If Ukraine had invaded Russia, then it would make more sense to ask the question of if the west would fight to the last Ukranian. Because in such a situation, the west would be in the oppressive power seat. However, in reality, the far more powerful Russia has invaded the oppressed Ukraine, thereby placing Ukranians in a situation where they either fight, become enslaved, or die. And so the Ukranians are going to fight to the last Ukranian because they don't have a choice. Alternatively, really we should be asking if Putin is willing to fight to the last Russian invading soldier. Because unlike the Ukranians, Putin has the power and choice to end the invasion.
  17. Never said there wasn't a proxy war unfolding. I'm simply saying that it's Ukrainians that are fighting for Ukraine. Those aren't french soldiers out there in the front lines. They're ukranians. Like I said before, it wasn't the French who won independence from Britain in 1776. Americans fought that war themselves, though the French provided weapons and resources to the Americans in a proxy war against the British. It is now celebrated in our independence day nearly 300 years later because it was our war and Americans are the ones who did the fighting. And today, Ukranians are the ones doing the fighting, and it's their war. And remember, Russia invaded Ukraine. If Russia really wanted to talk about peace, they wouldn't have invaded to begin with. They didn't amass 200,000 armed Russian soldiers just to make peace talks. They came to kill. You speak as if Russian soldiers are somehow trapped in Ukraine, begging Ukraine to agree to a peace deal that Ukraine irrationally refuses so that it can receive more western weapons. That's called twisting reality. The reality is that Russia is the one who has the power to end the war, just as Russia started it. Whereas with Ukraine, being the invaded nation, for many they only had but a few choices, fight, die, or otherwise become enslaved (if Russia let them live at all). Hence why the Ukranians are indeed fighting for themselves, lest many simply be killed and/or imprisoned by Putins army. Or perhaps they'd simply be massacred like those at bucha. So the question is not if the west will fight to the last ukranian, because many in Ukraine have no choice but to fight for their own freedom and life. Rather, the question ought to be, will Putin fight down to the last Russian invader? Because he has power and choice to withdraw and to end it at any time. But of course, he is a prideful man, and so we must ask, if Putin will fight down to the last Russian soldier.
  18. What's weird about this phrase is that, really it's Ukraine fighting down to the last Ukrainian. I mean really, they don't have an alternative. Do you think Ukraine should just let Russia show up and kill them without trying to fight back? Does anyone actually think that letting Russia massacre civilians and slaughter government officials is an ok thing to let them do? It's not really the west fighting, it's Ukrainians fighting to live. And many in Ukraine really don't have a choice, lest they simply want to roll over and be killed. Was it France that won independence from great Britain in 1776? No, those were American soldiers fighting to live, albeit with resources provided by France. Given the success that Ukraine has had, it would be more appropriate to suggest that perhaps Putin is willing to fight to the last Russian soldier. Because Putin actually has the power to command an invasion and to end it as well. Unlike Ukraine in this war.
  19. https://youtu.be/ikW0PfXcqXM More russians being oppressed by Nazis in Moldova? The story develops. Moldova seeks eu membership (save us Germany*). Of course Russia would have a much easier time toppling the Moldovan central government over Ukraines.
  20. https://youtu.be/T6XyfoZ5jHA An analysis of the Lithuanian military, Russia's potential future choice of a country to invade.
  21. I suspect that the EU is much better suited for this situation than Russia is. But I suppose we will see!
  22. What I'm thinking is, Russia attempted to kill the Ukraine central government and has killed and is actively killing members of it's local government, and of course it's people with it. Russia of course is also leveling and destroying cities and towns, and in some instances, massacring people of those towns along the way. So that means that, unless Russia destroys the Ukraine government, which it tried to do but appears to have not succeeded, until they destroy the central government, either Russia will have to leave the country, or of course enter a years long war that will cost it too much for its already fragile economy to handle. and it's true that Ukraines economy is tanking as well. But Ukraine in certain regards doesn't really have a choice but to fight. Otherwise they'd be letting tyranny "win". And in many cases they'd just be killed if they surrendered anyway. And I don't expect the west to back down because if the west didn't make an effort to stop Russia, Russia wouldn't stop. Next they'd hit other Baltic states. Maybe Latvia, Maybe Poland, maybe Estonia. Maybe they'd move back in into Finland, maybe they'd even destroy turkey, etc. (Assuming western nations didn't respond to Russia's activities). Anyone Putin allegedly felt "threatened" by, that simultaneously held strategically positioned land with natural resources, would be in danger. And so I don't think the west is going to back down.
  23. Ok. Well, I'm talking about the war. Maybe I can rewind a bit to my prior post.
  24. None of the nations mentioned above are actively invading their neighbor. So, I don't think they are playing the same game.
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