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In the Name of God بسم الله

iCenozoic

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  • Location
    Maine
  • Religion
    Christianity
  • Mood
    I am here. Reflecting on memories, appreciating what Jesus has done for me.
  • Favorite Subjects
    Geology, Paleontology, Genetics, Biblical studies. I'm a scientist.

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  1. What a nightmare. I've noticed that Afghan need had slowly drifted away from headlines over the past months. It'll be a point against democrats in the next election but it's otherwise felt forgotten.
  2. Wow, look at those numbers! They're worried about Delta, but when I see those numbers I'm thinking "man I wish our numbers were even a fraction as good as those!". If 5 deaths = spiking hard, I don't even want to know what we would call Florida or California the past few months.
  3. Haha yea, I don't know what's going on lol. Well, I think it just exposes shortcomings of the general public's way of thinking about things. Working in environmental consulting, studies of background data is something that has always been a part of my career. If you find contamination in groundwater, the natural question you have to ask is, was it originally present or was it caused by X Y or Z. And so when discussions came up about infertility it just kind of naturally fell into place. But I guess I never really considered that most people don't necessarily have similar thoughts or career related practices. So you get all these people saying that vaccines are causing miscarriages, and you look at them wondering how they completely missed discussing background data. And then you realize that it's just something that maybe they've never done before. I know people in my neighborhood, particularly mothers and other concerned women who are worried about vaccines causing miscarriage. But then I also am reminded that many of them are stay at home mothers or they spend a lot of their spare time taking care of their children. But they don't necessarily spend their days sitting around thinking about causality and background concentrations of contaminant plumes. Its really strange honestly. So, the best we can do is just try to talk about the topic and help those people out. And thankfully I think that the percentage of naysayers is gradually decreasing as more and more data gradually becomes available, and as we learn what really is bogging people down. In the one video I posted, Viki talks about how misinformation takes just a day or two to go viral, and it can take a month or two for the body of scientists to hear the misinformation and then to formulate a understandable response. So we are gradually easing through. And people are slowly coming around. We'll get through things eventually.
  4. And another (though this one is older, madesome 8 months ago). https://youtu.be/qDfnkNhpXiw
  5. More on fertility. https://youtu.be/fFudXb8l7H8
  6. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=pp-nPZETLTo At least a dozen studies related to fertility have been conducted and are presented here on this video and by the OBGYN referenced in the video (Viki). The studies all suggest that there are no adverse effects of the vaccines on fertility, male or female. The phase 3 studies involved thousands of pregnant women, thousands further have been noted in studies with no adverse effects. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa2104983 https://docs.google.com/document/d/1_wHIYX-tGkGBPwuax7N8BxZPR4PTTCDm/edit?usp=drivesdk&ouid=116307877665603669896&rtpof=true&sd=true https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2784193 https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2113891 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666334121000684 https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/acip/meetings/downloads/slides-2021-09-22/09-COVID-Olson-508.pdf https://www.bornontario.ca/en/whats-happening/resources/Documents/COVID-19-Vaccination-During-Pregnancy-in-Ontario-Report-1---FINAL.pdf https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2784193 Also, regarding pericarditis and myocarditis, a person is 10-20x more likely to have these side effects upon infection by SARS CoV-2. Natural infection has over a dozen additional side effects that aren't observed in vaccination as well, including damage to the brain, lungs, liver, heart etc., and is much more dangerous than vaccination. If you're concerned about vaccination, you should be 1000x more concerned about natural infection. If you have already had covid-19, your natural immunity may protect you for some time, though it's unclear for how long and thousands are already experiencing reinfection for a second time, including myself prior to me getting vaccinated. If you have not had covid-19 yet, then without any question, it is far safer to simply get vaccinated. Something like 95,000 unvaccinated Americans have died of covid-19 since April 2021. In comparison, only around 2,500 vaccinated have died. April being at the height of the vaccine roll-out. It doesn't take a genius to do that math.
  7. I think that vaccines are just naturally something that people don't feel comfortable with. The idea of a metal needle going into your body alone is uncomfortable, let alone one that sends molecular structures into you. Paired with people's general lack of familiarity with biology and a discomfort of a virus killing hundreds of thousands of people, and it's just a huge discomforting position to be in. Personally, I think that the US government should go on a campaign to educate people before pressing companies to mandate vaccines. Why not mandate education about vaccination first? I'm certainly pro-vaccination, but I think that mandates at our current time are a bit premature. Granted, hundreds of thousands of Americans are dying and time is of the essence. But some things unfortunately just take time to resolve. People need time to learn as well. 9/11 seemed, on the surface, pretty simple. Someone sought to kill you, so you seek to fight back. But covid-19 is somewhat complicated. It's death by the unseen with a solution that also is unseen. A 5 year old can throw a punch, but it takes a lot more work to explain the scientific method to 300 million people. And even the deaths are nearly unseen. Even if 100 people were to die in a single day in Florida, in a population of 15 million, such deaths are still almost unnoticeable. But if the skyscraper goes down, then pretty much everyone sees it. Especially in Manhattan.
  8. Yes. Many blind studies have been conducted. I'll share a few informative videos. Contrary to what the conspirators are promoting, each of the vaccines has been demonstrated to limit transmission. They prevent people from getting infected, and in breakthrough cases where people are infected, they kill the virus faster (which means less time for the virus to spread). And one of the common ways of observing this is through randomized blind studies and through testing of large populations of people to see who has the virus and who doesn't among vaccinated and unvaccinated populations. When testing vaccinated populations and unvaccinated populations, vaccinated consistently have more negative tests and unvaccinated have more positive tests. Although natural immunity for people previously infected also has been shown to give people comparable protection, at least for 6-8 months or so. And by testing large populations of people, it doesn't really matter what their symptoms are, you can tell if they have the virus or not regardless. https://youtu.be/5RWGh19yTXw https://youtu.be/rA-sCLJO2P4 https://youtu.be/pp-nPZETLTo Also, Israel has a population of 9 million or so. The state of Georgia had a population of roughly 10 million. Israel has had roughly 7,600 or so covid deaths. Georgia has had something like 25,000. So saying that Israel is struggling is somewhat of a subjective statement. Yes, Delta variant is still present and is causing many breakthrough cases. Studies are varying depending on the vaccine, suggesting vaccine efficacy generally between 60-80% or so. But what that means is that 30% of vaccinated people, particularly those with weak immune systems, like the elderly, are still at risk of contracting the virus. Albeit their risk of dying is still significantly lower than unvaccinated counter-parts. So there's no question that vaccination is saving tens of thousands of lives here in the US. And there is no question that vaccination is slowing the virus down by preventing transmission and helping people clear the virus faster. However because the vaccines don't have 100% efficacy, you will still get some breakthrough cases. Which means that vaccinated people are still at risk, which further means that anyone transmitting the virus is still in a sense, endangering the vaccinated. Which includes other vaccinated people, through predominantly it's of course unvaccinated that have a greater probability of having a virus replicating inside them.
  9. Any virus that replicates in someone's body has an opportunity to mutate, which is another reason why the unvaccinated population, who are more likely to have and to transmit the virus, are creating an increased probability for variants. Hence why Delta variant came out of India during their issues last summer.
  10. The vaccines aren't 100% effective. Studies typically have them ranging between 60-80% in preventing transmission and 90-95% in prevention of hospitalization. This means that the vaccinated can be endangered by a virus predominantly passing through unvaccinated people.
  11. Here is a second video on efficacy of mRNA vaccines against the Delta variant. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rA-sCLJO2P4
  12. https://youtu.be/pp-nPZETLTo Just figured I'd share a video and YouTube channel. The video addressed a handful of questions with use of studies, including the question of if vaccines cause infertility. The video also discusses mRNA clinical trials in people, questions of if these vaccines can alter DNA, half-lives of the vaccines etc. I am quickly reminded of why I've gradually departed. The conspiracy theories and misinformation are rampant here. Smh* thank you @notme for being a beacon of hope.
  13. https://www.npr.org/2021/08/26/1031244804/kabul-airport-explosion-afghanistan Uh oh. Will this turn into an invasion of Afghanistan round 2? It's like they want the US to stay. Either stay and deal with the chaos for another 20 years, or leave and let it scorch the land. No real solution here. No other countries are militarily present. I would think that leaving would still be the better decision.
  14. Iran, with the help of Russia, really stamped out rebels in Syria. I wonder if they would have similar success if it came down to a conflict with the Taliban. Or is the only real solution to potentially allow what most likely will be the oppression of Shia, in hopes of future peace.
  15. Well it's certainly demonstrating something. "Intellectual" wasn't my first thought though haha.
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