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In the Name of God بسم الله
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By Ibn Tayyar · Posted
The truth is Gaza cannot be rebuilt without international aid. Hamas will have to make concessions or Gazans will live in tents surrounded by rubble for decades, if not forever. Gaza has no building material of its own, it has no expertise in removing unexploded ordinance, and it has no way of supplying the basic needs of people. The Arab States have alot of leverage on Hamas here, because only through them could aid enter Gaza. Part of the Egyptian rebuilding plan (which is supported by other Arabs) is that Hamas has no role in Gaza's governance. You can read about it here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-spearheads-arab-scramble-alternative-trumps-gaza-plan-2025-02-14/ It is very likely that there will be an Arab League consensus on supporting the Egyptian proposal. Qatar, which has alot of leverage on Hamas, also believes the PA should return to Gaza: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/21/qatar-pm-hopes-palestinian-authority-will-return-to-gaza-when-war-ends A Hamas leader already said in the past they are ready to relinquish control to an "independent" group: "What we are calling for is a Palestinian unity government, formed from technocrats who are not affiliated to any faction but supported from all factions … to run the situation in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank," he says. https://www.npr.org/2024/08/16/nx-s1-5077757/gaza-war-hamas-leader-basem-naim-doha-interview The above statement is actually in line with what the Egyptians are proposing today. Don't think for a second that we will return to the pre-October 7 world. Hamas is under pressure and will concede on many points in order to push the deal to Phase 3. -
By mahmood8726 · Posted
Its not trumps statements, its what america and israel have been planning all along. Under the Biden admin America pressured Egypt to take in Palestinians multiple times and Egypt refused, this is just America being more open about their ambitions. Trump is just an idiot who opens his mouth and says the quiet part out loud. But I understand, when sayed hassan nassralah a few weeks before going out of this world even mentionned that israels plan was to ethnically cleanse people from gaza into neighboring countries including jordan, Jordan laughed at him and called him insane. And this plan is insane and had a huge chance of failing, but you underestimate the stupidity and ego of the US government and the Israeli government. I don't remeber hamas agreeing to relinquishing their power in Gaza. Israel can demand it all they want, if they want a war, hamas will give them another quagmire if we're being objective here. This was during the war, it was when China was bridging the gaps between the two, but after PA did the shameless stuff it did in the west bank, I doubt it. As for Arab States pouring money into Gaza or no, I am not aware of anything here, I know Egypt proposed a rebuilding plan without displacing Palestinians because they're sh**ting bricks on the thought of accepting 2 million refugees. They won't and if they push for it and there will be a higher chance of instability within their countries from a more and more angry populace. Sure, but most lebanese people I've talked to are angry this ceasefire is being violated by israel like this and the Palestinians in Gaza they heard what America just said, Palestinians in Gaza will almost all rally behind hamas now after Trump opened his mouth like an idiot and said the quiet part out loud. The only ones in Lebanon that are happy with things now are some whiny liberals/diaspora on reddit and the lebanese fascist christians who were promised that hezbollah was going to be destroyed and they would have a stronger fascist army in Lebanon like decades ago. -
By Ibn Tayyar · Posted
Don't take the statements of Trump and his minions seriously. They know that a plan to forcibly evacuate Gazans is dead on arrival. The true plan is to push Gaza between two choices: 1) no plans or money for rebuilding Gaza will come from the international community if Hamas remains in power, and this is obviously a cause of instability for the likes of Egypt, and this would also be a way to pressure Hamas. On top of that, there is a chance the war will continue, as Hamas relinquishing power will be the main Israeli demand in Phase 2 of the deal, in order for the ceasefire to continue onto Phase 3. 2) there will be money for rebuilding that will pour in from rich Arab States and the West if Hamas does relinquish power. Already there is momentum against Hamas within the Arab League, and I mean specifically from Qatar and Egypt, the main mediators, to relinquish power. Hamas has already stated it is willing to work with the PA and other Arab States on the future of Gaza's governance. The West & Israel, aswell as the Arabs, seek Gaza's demilitarization and dehamasification. I don't know if they will achieve this goal ultimately, but you can expect alot of concessions in the negotiations from Hamas's standpoint. I assume Gazans, just like the Lebanese, have no appetite for the continuation of the war after the fighting has already stopped and would like to move on with their lives. -
If our Sunni brothers and sisters sincerely want to understand the main difference between us, I would highly recommend this series. No cursing in it. Serious and academic by a renowned alim, and it's in English -
By mahmood8726 · Posted
This is still too early to tell. I'm waiting for more weeks or months. You guys keep forgetting that when the war in 2006 ended, israel violated the ceasefire like this and bombed many times until they felt good about themselves and their ego was satiated and then they stopped bombing and instead decided to violate the ceasefire 36 000 times with surveillance drones. The only reason people forget this, is because back then it wasn't televised, but Israel behaved just like this, they bombed even after the ceasefire. At the end of the day, it seems that hezb won, they forced Israel into a ceasefire because they probably knew Israel was going to sign one in Gaza. Israel wanted to succede in separating hezbollah from Gaza so that they could wipe hamas, they did not achieve this, instead the ceasefire in lebanon made them do a ceasefire in Gaza, achieving what hezb wanted. That is until now, if Israel decides to restart this war with hamas and go with their insane ethnic cleansing campaign, then there won't be a winner or loser because the war would have restarted. But as I said in the begening, it's too early to tell, especially after these insane ambitions of America on Gaza which might trigger a regional war. It could be that you're right and hezb just doesn't want to go against the partially pro us Lebanese state, or you might be wrong and they want to save their weaponry for a regional war or they just don't want to fall for Israeli provocation and they know that Israelis will tire themselves out like a crying toddler throwing a tantrum because they know Israelis and their tactics.
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