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Assassination Attempt On Dr. Samir Geagea


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#1 Noura

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Posted 04 April 2012 - 11:25 AM

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Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea revealed on Wednesday that he was the victim of an assassination attempt at his Maarab residence.

He announced during a press conference: “We will not halt our revolution no matter how hard they try and political leaders must take the necessary security precautions.”

He explained that on Wednesday morning, as he was taking a stroll in his garden, he leaned over to pick a flower soon after which he heard loud gunshots.

He threw himself on the ground as his security personnel came to his aid.

Security forces were immediately called to the scene and they extracted two bullets, ranging between

12.7 and 14.5mm, from a wall at the scene, he continued.

Geagea said that the operation needed more than one person to execute, thanking the security forces for their prompt response.

Furthermore, he revealed that the security forces are currently in pursuit of the assailants, who have fled to the outskirts of Maarab.

“I have always said that assassination attempts are a message to the would-be victim, but this time the assailants wanted the attack to be the final message,” said the LF chief.

“We have adopted political rhetoric for 40 years and they have responded with assassinations,” he noted.

“Why did they assassinate former Premier Rafik Hariri?” he asked.

“All that he did was acquire greater power than they had given him and it was clear that he was likely to acquire a parliamentary majority during the 2005 elections,” Geagea explained.

“Today’s incident is a continuation of the series of assassinations and assassination attempts that we thought had stopped after the 2008 Doha agreement,” he remarked.

“I am not accusing anyone of being behind my attempted assassination even though I have my own thoughts on the matter,” he stated.

“Those behind this attack are strictly professional given the type of weapon that was used and the distance from which it was executed,” he explained.

He stressed that the Maarab compound was not breached and that the attacker had carried out the attack from a distance of up to four kilometers using very advanced equipment.

“I believe that the wave of political assassinations in Lebanon has returned and I urge political leaders, who I won’t name, to take precautions,” he added.

“I won’t name potential targets, but I will say that there is one camp in Lebanon has not been and will not be attacked,” Geagea noted.

“They are seeking to eliminate national figures in Lebanon. What have we exercised in the past seven years besides politics?” he asked.

“I am certain that a team on the internal scene is involved in my assassination attempt and I will leave it up to the investigations to uncover the truth,” he said.

Developments over the past seven years have demonstrated that the decision to assassinate a figure is prompted when that individual “gains power greater than what is allowed,” he stated.

“No matter what they do, the revolt in Syria and our revolution will not stop until the rise of the state is achieved,” stressed Geagea.





Edited by Noura, 04 April 2012 - 11:26 AM.


#2 Professor Higgins

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Posted 04 April 2012 - 11:37 AM

This man is very lucky to be alive for so long.


Quote

He announced during a press conference: “We will not halt our revolution no matter how hard they try and political leaders must take the necessary security precautions


What revolution ?  :wacko:


Quote

“Those behind this attack are strictly professional given the type of weapon that was used and the distance from which it was executed,” he explained.


Obviously the guy who is saying this is an amateur.

Btw Noura what did Samir Geagea do to earn the right to write "Dr." before his name ?
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#3 John Al-Ameli

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Posted 04 April 2012 - 12:34 PM

That is the most funniest thing ever.

He was walking in his garden, and as he was leaning to pick out a flower :D :D

He is making a story because he has been out of Television for such a long time.

Ah what a funny guy, people should tell his story to children 'till they go to sleep.

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#4 shiaaliibrahim

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Posted 04 April 2012 - 02:46 PM

View PostRoAcHy, on 04 April 2012 - 12:34 PM, said:

That is the most funniest thing ever.

He was walking in his garden, and as he was leaning to pick out a flower :D :D

He is making a story because he has been out of Television for such a long time.

Ah what a funny guy, people should tell his story to children 'till they go to sleep.

I have to agree with you.  He was making this stuff as he was going along.  Nonsense.
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#5 ImAli

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Posted 04 April 2012 - 06:05 PM

View PostRoAcHy, on 04 April 2012 - 12:34 PM, said:

He was walking in his garden, and as he was leaning to pick out a flower :D :D

I imagine someone as evil as him would cause the flowers to die by simply walking near them.

ahhhhh better shot next time

This video gets me every time ROFL

Edited by ImAli, 04 April 2012 - 06:23 PM.

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#6 Noura

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Posted 04 April 2012 - 08:18 PM

People who support killing national leaders and starting fitnah in lebanon should understand that fitnah hurts everyone in lebanon and not just those who they dislike and want to murder, for the cause of their friends or their own cause.

Professor: he is talking about the revolution of indepdence for lebanon which started in march 14 and continues to this day. And he was a medical doctor before entering politics.

#7 Noah-

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Posted 04 April 2012 - 08:37 PM

View PostNoura, on 04 April 2012 - 08:18 PM, said:

People who support killing national leaders and starting fitnah in lebanon should understand that fitnah hurts everyone in lebanon and not just those who they dislike and want to murder, for the cause of their friends or their own cause.

Professor: he is talking about the revolution of indepdence for lebanon which started in march 14 and continues to this day. And he was a medical doctor before entering politics.

The revolution of "independence" or a revolution for dependence? Independence from whom? When was the last time a country was going towards 'independence' by being financed & provoked by Saudis, the West and Israeli... especially revolting against the forces who kicked out the 'invaders' and brought pride to the country and ensured their independence.

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#8 John Al-Ameli

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Posted 05 April 2012 - 08:03 AM

The guy made a fool out of himself. Nobody took his press conference seriously. Even the followers of 14 March are calling for him to write plays.

View PostNoura, on 04 April 2012 - 08:18 PM, said:

Professor: he is talking about the revolution of indepdence for lebanon which started in march 14 and continues to this day. And he was a medical doctor before entering politics.
Really? Wow, outstanding information.
Now did he finish and get a degree, or studying one semester in AUB makes him a Doctor?
If that is the case, I took a course about Business Law, that would make me a Judge :lol:

Noura, my friend, change your name to your male name, and stop making a fool out of yourself.

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#9 Noura

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Posted 05 April 2012 - 08:27 AM

The only people doubting this are those who support Syria because they know who is responsible for this. And he finished his degree in st joseph university.

And roachy what are u talking about.

#10 John Al-Ameli

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Posted 05 April 2012 - 08:38 AM

View PostNoura, on 05 April 2012 - 08:27 AM, said:

The only people doubting this are those who support Syria because they know who is responsible for this. And he finished his degree in st joseph university.

And roachy what are u talking about.
He didn't finish anything. Its known, he went in university for a semester only. Stop defending false issues, it makes you even stupider.

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#11 Noura

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Posted 05 April 2012 - 12:31 PM

Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea revealed on Thursday that investigations into his assassination attempt have uncovered the location from which the snipers fired their shots, announced the LF in a statement.

He said: “I was not hasty in making political accusations in the matter.”

The security forces continued on searching the nearby area from his Maarab residence where the attack took place, he added.

They concluded that the assailants came from the west, not the south or north, he explained.

Geagea said that the attackers had placed surveillance equipment some three or four kilometers from Maarab, repeating that the grounds of his residence where not breached.

The operation, which could have taken four to six months of preparations, was conducted a by a surveillance team and another of gunmen who were moving on the ground, he said.

Geagea later stated before a delegation of Lebanese Forces students: “The assassination was not simply targeted against the LF, but the Cedar Revolution and March 14 forces.”

“The attack was an assault against the liberty of every free citizen,” he stressed.

“Today they targeted the LF and tomorrow they may attack any citizen that does not share the same views as they do,” he continued.

The LF chief received more telephone calls to inquire about his well-being following the attack.

The callers included Speaker Nabih Berri, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, Qatari Foreign Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassem al-Thani, Grand Mufti Sheikh Mohammed Rasheed Qabbani, and the ambassadors of Egypt, the UK, and Turkey.

On Wednesday, Geagea was the victim of an assassination attempt by snipers as he was taking a walk on the grounds of his Maarab residence.

He said after the attack: “Today’s incident is a continuation of the series of assassinations and assassination attempts that we thought had stopped after the 2008 Doha agreement.”

“I am not accusing anyone of being behind my attempted assassination even though I have my own thoughts on the matter,” he stated.

“I believe that the wave of political assassinations in Lebanon has returned and I urge political leaders, who I won’t name, to take precautions,” he added.

“I won’t name potential targets, but I will say that there is one camp in Lebanon has not been and will not be attacked,” Geagea noted.

“They are seeking to eliminate national figures in Lebanon. What have we exercised in the past seven years besides politics?” he asked.

“I am certain that a team on the internal scene is involved in my assassination attempt and I will leave it up to the investigations to uncover the truth,” he said.

http://www.naharnet....ination-attempt

#12 south-lebanon

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Posted 05 April 2012 - 03:24 PM

Fake Doctor, fake revolution ( lol a revolution that started in 2005) fake assasination attempt (surely you would think they'd use a rpg's or a proper sniper that can aim), only thing that is real about the man is his hair style.

#13 MAFHJ

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Posted 07 April 2012 - 02:25 AM

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#14 Noura

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Posted 09 April 2012 - 07:50 AM

Lebanon was on the verge of civil strife last week, similar to the situation that pervaded the country after the 2005 assassination of former Premier Rafik Hariri, after news of the failed assassination attempt against Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea broke out, reported the Kuwaiti al-Seyassah on Monday.

A former Lebanese security official residing in Paris told the daily: “The moment the attempt was announced, hundreds of LF, Phalange Party, and National Liberal Front fighters, as well as Lebanese army backers, headed to the regions that surround Beirut’s southern suburbs and Shiyyah area, Hizbullah and AMAL’s respective stronghold.”

The fighters, who came from the areas of Hazmieh and Fayyadiyeh, deployed in Ain al-Rummaneh, Baabda, and al-Antouniyeh near the Dahiyeh southern suburbs ahead of storming al-Shiyyah and later Dahiyeh, said the unnamed official.

He revealed that Lebanese intelligence confirmed that some 2,300 Christian fighters had in fact deployed in those areas.

The development could have resulted in sectarian strife, but it was avoided after it was announced that Geagea had survived the attack on his life, he added.

The official stated that Geagea and his parliamentary bloc had indirectly accused Hizbullah and its ally Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun of being behind the assassination attempt.

This accusation can be interpreted as a sign of “an impending invasion by the Christians of the March 14 camp of the FPM regions in order to end its presence in Christian areas and return unity among the Maronite ranks,” the former security official told al-Seyassah.

Last Wednesday, Geagea escaped an assassination attempt by snipers as he was taking a walk in the garden of his Maarab residence.

The LF leader did not make a direct accusation of who he thinks is behind the attack, saying that he will keep his thoughts to himself.

He noted however that one camp in Lebanon “has not and will not be a target of an assassination.”

http://www.naharnet....ination-attempt


#15 shiasoldier786

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Posted 09 April 2012 - 08:00 AM

“The moment the attempt was announced, hundreds of LF, Phalange Party, and National Liberal Front fighters, as well as Lebanese army backers, headed to the regions that surround Beirut’s southern suburbs and Shiyyah area, Hizbullah and AMAL’s respective stronghold.”

Hahahhahahahahahaha
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#16 ImAli

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Posted 10 April 2012 - 09:54 AM

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#17 John Al-Ameli

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Posted 10 April 2012 - 10:18 AM

"While I was walking in my garden with some bodyguards, I saw a beautiful flower. I knelt down to pick it. Meanwhile, I heard two shots, I then flattened to the ground. We then saw two holes in a wall of the building. Immediately, we called the security forces who have concluded that the two bullets were fired at more than 1 km distance. This would be more of a sniper, and the sniper rifles used are 12.7 and 14.5 mm caliber, so they are sophisticated."
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These were the words of the scenario Head of the Lebanese Forces (LF) Samir Geagea described in a press conference he held on Wednesday, in which he said he had been the victim of an assassination attempt.
Speaking confidently of each and every suspected detail, Geagea added "They tried to kill me with very sophisticated weapons, far beyond our capabilities. They had placed a camera at 4 km to monitor the site 24/24 to detect our movements. Then, an executive team went into action when it reached the suitable time. Such an operation requires indeed very sophisticated technological means covering a distance of 3 to 6 km."

Geagea said he believed that "those who stand behind this operation have wanted this to be a definite message."

Without pointing fingers at any party, he claimed the perpetrators of this attack try to oust him from politics in Lebanon. Also, underscoring that some sides are aware of his existence, Geagea considered it obvious that a local party has participated in the operation, "because my positions are starting to bother them."

Assembly of Parties: Geagea Assassination Political Tool

The Lebanese Assembly of National Parties and Figures assured that the talk about Geagea's assassination attempt falls in the context of political investment as Lebanon has started preparing for the 2013 parliamentary elections.
The assembly advised Geagea to stay away from "naked" scenarios, noting that these no longer can trick the Lebanese people.

Al-Akhbar: Miracle Always Saves Geagea

Meanwhile, the Lebanese daily al-Akhbar noted that Geagea's historical archive is full of "assassination attempts" joined by a one common "miracle" as he survives them all.
"It is not the first time that head of the Lebanese Forces announces his miraculous survival of what he calls an assassination attempt," the paper wrote, noting that the circumstances and logistics of the different "attempts" are very similar.
Recalling an assassination attempt Geagea had claimed in the rickety phase in 1987 following the assassination of Lebanese former Premier Rashid Karameh, al-Akhbar recounts from archives "Geagea's record includes an almost identical declaration during the second half of the 80s, during the presidential elections period. Geagea back then, and all of a sudden declared that he had been a victim of an assassination attempt in the military council at his residence place.

As for the second assassination attempt "declaration", al-Akhbar said it was in more interesting Hollywood-like techniques at the time he stood behind bars accused of assassinating dani Shamoun and his family.
"only that flower was the new factor in Geagea's new announcement on his always-enjoyment of Divine protection!" the newspaper concluded.

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#18 shiasoldier786

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Posted 10 April 2012 - 05:03 PM

He walks in his own garden with 'bodyguards'?
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#19 Professor Higgins

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Posted 11 April 2012 - 02:20 PM

View PostNoura, on 09 April 2012 - 07:50 AM, said:

Lebanon was on the verge of civil strife last week, similar to the situation that pervaded the country after the 2005 assassination of former Premier Rafik Hariri, after news of the failed assassination attempt against Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea broke out, reported the Kuwaiti al-Seyassah on Monday.

A former Lebanese security official residing in Paris told the daily: "The moment the attempt was announced, hundreds of LF, Phalange Party, and National Liberal Front fighters, as well as Lebanese army backers, headed to the regions that surround Beirut's southern suburbs and Shiyyah area, Hizbullah and AMAL's respective stronghold."

The fighters, who came from the areas of Hazmieh and Fayyadiyeh, deployed in Ain al-Rummaneh, Baabda, and al-Antouniyeh near the Dahiyeh southern suburbs ahead of storming al-Shiyyah and later Dahiyeh, said the unnamed official.

He revealed that Lebanese intelligence confirmed that some 2,300 Christian fighters had in fact deployed in those areas.

The development could have resulted in sectarian strife, but it was avoided after it was announced that Geagea had survived the attack on his life, he added.

The official stated that Geagea and his parliamentary bloc had indirectly accused Hizbullah and its ally Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun of being behind the assassination attempt.

This accusation can be interpreted as a sign of "an impending invasion by the Christians of the March 14 camp of the FPM regions in order to end its presence in Christian areas and return unity among the Maronite ranks," the former security official told al-Seyassah.

Last Wednesday, Geagea escaped an assassination attempt by snipers as he was taking a walk in the garden of his Maarab residence.

The LF leader did not make a direct accusation of who he thinks is behind the attack, saying that he will keep his thoughts to himself.

He noted however that one camp in Lebanon "has not and will not be a target of an assassination."

http://www.naharnet....ination-attempt


This is full of BS....those parties no longer have the ability to mobilize and deploy a militia in a moment's notice, especially not outside their strongholds. I doubt they even have "2300 fighters" .  And even if they did try, they would have been taken out 20 minutes before they could have even reached the Dahiyeh. Hezbollah and Amal "intelligence" would have known of the plan even before the "fighters" could get on their cars.

Lets not be foolhardy, there is no power in Lebanon at the moment that can take on Hezbollah-Amal in a military fight without getting whacked, literally. They showed that in 2007-08.   Otherwise, even the PLO has bills to pay to the Harake.  Its hard to even imagine someone assembling a 2300-man force and trying to flex muscles in the Dahiye, the thought itself is funny.
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#20 Noah-

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Posted 13 April 2012 - 01:10 AM

View Postshiasoldier786, on 10 April 2012 - 05:03 PM, said:

He walks in his own garden with 'bodyguards'?

Yes bro, it is normal in those countries and even in the West... but most governments officials and important personalities do not make them visible on tvs.. British PM even has bodyguards in his restroom lol

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Ma ahl-e Kufa nistim Assad tanha bemanad!


#21 Noura

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Posted 15 April 2012 - 11:26 PM

Don’t mess with a military man
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By: Michael Young

There was an ominous postscript to the attempted assassination last week of Samir Geagea, the Lebanese Forces leader. It came in the form of an alleged revelation by “a former Lebanese security official living in Paris” published in the Kuwaiti daily Al-Seyassah.

The official’s comment went like this: “The moment the attempt [on Geagea’s life] was announced, hundreds of Lebanese Forces, Kataeb Party, and National Liberal Front fighters, as well as Lebanese army backers, headed to the regions around Beirut’s southern suburbs and the Shiyyah area, the strongholds of Hezbollah and Amal.”

Both the official—in all probability Johnny Abdo, the onetime head of Lebanese military intelligence—and the outlet, Al-Seyassah, leave plenty of room for us to question the veracity of the story. But as some observers have noted, the point was not to tell the truth; it was to issue a warning. Mustapha of the Beirut Spring blog wrote an astute analysis of the episode, referring to it as “deterrence by rumor-mongering.” By cautioning Hezbollah and Amal that there could be dangerous repercussions if Geagea were harmed, Abdo and March 14 hoped to prevent further attacks against the Lebanese Forces leader.  

A rancorous mood did indeed circulate in Christian areas after the reported shooting. Had Geagea been killed, there would certainly have been hotheads willing to take matters into their own hands. The army would have been hard-pressed to restore order and ease tensions between the Lebanese Forces and the Aounists in particular, while one dreads to imagine what might have happened, let’s say, to Shia strolling through hard-core Lebanese Forces quarters.  

For many years Geagea has carefully cultivated the impression that his followers could transform themselves into an armed militia if they were provoked into doing so. While the Lebanese Forces leader has repeatedly denied that his men are undergoing military training, he has also been deliberately ambiguous about their intentions.

For instance, in February 2006 Lebanese Forces officials in Beirut warned then-Interior Minister Hassan al-Sabeh that they would take to the streets with their weapons if he did not control Sunni Islamists demonstrating against the publication by a Danish newspaper of cartoons of the prophet Muhammad. They burned the Danish Embassy in the mainly Christian Ashrafieh neighborhood, and when the protest turned into a riot, the participants began harassing Christians and throwing rocks at a Maronite church.

In May 2008, when Hezbollah and its pro-Syrian allies overran western Beirut, there was news that the Lebanese Forces would protect Christian districts if necessary. Perhaps this was again a case of deterrence by rumor-mongering. However, in such fluid situations, organized groups tend to fill the vacuum. That’s why it’s not especially difficult to imagine that Geagea would have been prepared to deploy his men had the army failed to defend eastern Beirut in the same way that it had failed to defend western Beirut.

The capacity and willingness to wage war remains very much a part of Geagea’s aura, and that of the Lebanese Forces. Do you recall all those March 14 rallies of recent years? Whenever you saw youths dressed in combat boots and fatigues, with black tee-shirts, you could be sure that they belonged to the party. They may have been in the minority, but they also had no inhibitions about flaunting the imagery of battle.

Perhaps we shouldn’t be surprised. Geagea doesn’t seek an armed confrontation, but nor is he, temperamentally, the kind of person who will shrink from playing up his warrior persona when Hezbollah has spent years doing the same. In that sense his behavior contrasts with that of Walid Jumblatt, another former warlord. For Geagea, the Lebanese political system is one of natural equilibrium: If one coalition or religious community seeks hegemony over the others, then this requires a comparable counter-reaction to impose balance.

Last week, I suggested in this space that Geagea would attempt to play the failed assassination attempt in such a way as to improve his chances of success in parliamentary elections next year. Everything suggests that he is doing so, and that he has become the driving force of March 14, in the absence of Saad Hariri, the former prime minister. An element of brinkmanship was equally evident in Geagea’s speech to his coalition partners in Maarab on Wednesday. “March 14 is in the eye of the storm,” he was quoted as saying, before sounding the martial note: “The battle that the Syrian regime and its allies are fighting is a final battle of either killing or being killed.”

The Lebanese Forces leader is not reacting spontaneously. He has something in mind, a specific agenda, and it includes definite electoral calculations burnished by a noticeable military component. That doesn’t mean Geagea plans to go to war. Rather, he is positioning himself as a Christian champion, against those other leading Christian figures, Michel Aoun and Maronite Patriarch Bechara al-Rai above all, whom Geagea would insist have betrayed the community’s ideals and traditions while ceding vital ground, geographically and politically, to the Christians’ enemies.  

The political ambitions of Samir Geagea aside, it is disturbing when the pulsations of conflict make a comeback in Lebanon. We haven’t condemned this in Hezbollah to sanction it in the case of the Lebanese Forces. Most Lebanese still aspire to a civil order that keeps violence at bay. Maybe we’re naïve for thinking so, or soft. Or maybe we just don’t want fear to color how we vote in the coming elections.




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#22 John Al-Ameli

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Posted 16 April 2012 - 02:40 AM

BAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHH :D

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#23 ImAli

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Posted 16 April 2012 - 08:33 AM

View PostNoura, on 15 April 2012 - 11:26 PM, said:

Don’t mess with a military man
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By: Michael Young

There was an ominous postscript to the attempted assassination last week of Samir Geagea, the Lebanese Forces leader. It came in the form of an alleged revelation by “a former Lebanese security official living in Paris” published in the Kuwaiti daily Al-Seyassah.

The official’s comment went like this: “The moment the attempt [on Geagea’s life] was announced, hundreds of Lebanese Forces, Kataeb Party, and National Liberal Front fighters, as well as Lebanese army backers, headed to the regions around Beirut’s southern suburbs and the Shiyyah area, the strongholds of Hezbollah and Amal.”

Both the official—in all probability Johnny Abdo, the onetime head of Lebanese military intelligence—and the outlet, Al-Seyassah, leave plenty of room for us to question the veracity of the story. But as some observers have noted, the point was not to tell the truth; it was to issue a warning. Mustapha of the Beirut Spring blog wrote an astute analysis of the episode, referring to it as “deterrence by rumor-mongering.” By cautioning Hezbollah and Amal that there could be dangerous repercussions if Geagea were harmed, Abdo and March 14 hoped to prevent further attacks against the Lebanese Forces leader.  

A rancorous mood did indeed circulate in Christian areas after the reported shooting. Had Geagea been killed, there would certainly have been hotheads willing to take matters into their own hands. The army would have been hard-pressed to restore order and ease tensions between the Lebanese Forces and the Aounists in particular, while one dreads to imagine what might have happened, let’s say, to Shia strolling through hard-core Lebanese Forces quarters.  

For many years Geagea has carefully cultivated the impression that his followers could transform themselves into an armed militia if they were provoked into doing so. While the Lebanese Forces leader has repeatedly denied that his men are undergoing military training, he has also been deliberately ambiguous about their intentions.

For instance, in February 2006 Lebanese Forces officials in Beirut warned then-Interior Minister Hassan al-Sabeh that they would take to the streets with their weapons if he did not control Sunni Islamists demonstrating against the publication by a Danish newspaper of cartoons of the prophet Muhammad. They burned the Danish Embassy in the mainly Christian Ashrafieh neighborhood, and when the protest turned into a riot, the participants began harassing Christians and throwing rocks at a Maronite church.

In May 2008, when Hezbollah and its pro-Syrian allies overran western Beirut, there was news that the Lebanese Forces would protect Christian districts if necessary. Perhaps this was again a case of deterrence by rumor-mongering. However, in such fluid situations, organized groups tend to fill the vacuum. That’s why it’s not especially difficult to imagine that Geagea would have been prepared to deploy his men had the army failed to defend eastern Beirut in the same way that it had failed to defend western Beirut.

The capacity and willingness to wage war remains very much a part of Geagea’s aura, and that of the Lebanese Forces. Do you recall all those March 14 rallies of recent years? Whenever you saw youths dressed in combat boots and fatigues, with black tee-shirts, you could be sure that they belonged to the party. They may have been in the minority, but they also had no inhibitions about flaunting the imagery of battle.

Perhaps we shouldn’t be surprised. Geagea doesn’t seek an armed confrontation, but nor is he, temperamentally, the kind of person who will shrink from playing up his warrior persona when Hezbollah has spent years doing the same. In that sense his behavior contrasts with that of Walid Jumblatt, another former warlord. For Geagea, the Lebanese political system is one of natural equilibrium: If one coalition or religious community seeks hegemony over the others, then this requires a comparable counter-reaction to impose balance.

Last week, I suggested in this space that Geagea would attempt to play the failed assassination attempt in such a way as to improve his chances of success in parliamentary elections next year. Everything suggests that he is doing so, and that he has become the driving force of March 14, in the absence of Saad Hariri, the former prime minister. An element of brinkmanship was equally evident in Geagea’s speech to his coalition partners in Maarab on Wednesday. “March 14 is in the eye of the storm,” he was quoted as saying, before sounding the martial note: “The battle that the Syrian regime and its allies are fighting is a final battle of either killing or being killed.”

The Lebanese Forces leader is not reacting spontaneously. He has something in mind, a specific agenda, and it includes definite electoral calculations burnished by a noticeable military component. That doesn’t mean Geagea plans to go to war. Rather, he is positioning himself as a Christian champion, against those other leading Christian figures, Michel Aoun and Maronite Patriarch Bechara al-Rai above all, whom Geagea would insist have betrayed the community’s ideals and traditions while ceding vital ground, geographically and politically, to the Christians’ enemies.  

The political ambitions of Samir Geagea aside, it is disturbing when the pulsations of conflict make a comeback in Lebanon. We haven’t condemned this in Hezbollah to sanction it in the case of the Lebanese Forces. Most Lebanese still aspire to a civil order that keeps violence at bay. Maybe we’re naïve for thinking so, or soft. Or maybe we just don’t want fear to color how we vote in the coming elections.




http://www.nowlebano...6#ixzz1sArJlOUT

I usually hate to be rude to a sister, but your posts become more ridiculous and more stupid each time.

Are you actually serious? You have to be laughing when you post these things no?

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#24 John Al-Ameli

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Posted 16 April 2012 - 09:38 AM

^^
The "sister" doesn't seem that she is from Lebanon, or knows alot about Lebanon, because any person who does know, wouldn't put up such an article, or he/she will be ShiaChats Jester

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#25 Professor Higgins

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Posted 16 April 2012 - 03:35 PM

Is there a picture of Saad Hariri wearing a fancy uniform and holding a gun ?

Do you know, Noura ?
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